Jimmy Lai released by...?
A Polymarket event with 2 markets and $364.5K total volume, resolving Dec 31, 2026. Live odds for every outcome below.
- Markets
- 2
- Total volume
- $364.5K
- Liquidity
- $51.8K
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
Markets in this event
| Market | Yes | 24h vol |
|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026? | 6% | $390 |
| Jimmy Lai released by June 30? | 0% | $20 |
About this event
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jimmy Lai is released from custody by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Lai is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Lai is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Lai to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Extradition of Lai to another country where he remains in custody will also not count. Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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