Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?
A Polymarket event with 3 markets and $2.67M total volume, resolving Jan 31, 2026. Live odds for every outcome below.
- Markets
- 3
- Total volume
- $2.67M
- Liquidity
- $25.2K
- Resolves
- Jan 31, 2026
Markets in this event
About this event
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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