US defaults on debt by 2027?
A Polymarket event with 1 market and $15.8K total volume, resolving Dec 31, 2026. Live odds for every outcome below.
- Markets
- 1
- Total volume
- $15.8K
- Liquidity
- $6.5K
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
Markets in this event
| Market | Yes | 24h vol |
|---|---|---|
| US defaults on debt by 2027? | 3% | $0 |
About this event
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
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