Spreadiction

Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

A Polymarket event with 20 markets and $1.86M total volume, resolving Aug 1, 2026. Live odds for every outcome below.

Markets
20
Total volume
$1.86M
Liquidity
$436.2K
Resolves
Aug 1, 2026

Markets in this event

MarketYes24h vol
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?1%$1.1K
Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?1%$334
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?8%$172
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?1%$100
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?2%$86
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?2%$59
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?2%$38
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?3%$32
Will Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?2%$1
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?2%$1
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?1%$1
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?1%$1
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?1%$1
Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?1%$1
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?100%$0
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?100%$0
Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?100%$0
Will Ali Larijani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?0%$0
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?100%$0
Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?2%$0

About this event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity. The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify. The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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