Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
A Polymarket event with 1 market and $1.30M total volume, resolving Dec 31, 2027. Live odds for every outcome below.
- Markets
- 1
- Total volume
- $1.30M
- Liquidity
- $169.0K
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2027
Markets in this event
| Market | Yes | 24h vol |
|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | 14% | $135.9K |
About this event
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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