Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
A Polymarket event with 1 market and $4.43M total volume, resolving Jan 1, 2027. Live odds for every outcome below.
- Markets
- 1
- Total volume
- $4.43M
- Liquidity
- $105.3K
- Resolves
- Jan 1, 2027
Markets in this event
| Market | Yes | 24h vol |
|---|---|---|
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | 6% | $4.5K |
About this event
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time between January 9, 2026, 1:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.
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