Spreadiction

Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

A Polymarket event with 1 market and $314.4K total volume, resolving Jul 31, 2026. Live odds for every outcome below.

Markets
1
Total volume
$314.4K
Liquidity
$81.5K
Resolves
Jul 31, 2026

Markets in this event

MarketYes24h vol
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?2%$180.5K

About this event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Trade on Polymarket

Trading happens on Polymarket. Polymarket is geographically restricted — verify access from your jurisdiction before depositing.

Open event on Polymarket →