Lincoln: Hayato Matsuoka vs Hiroki Moriya
A prediction market on Polymarket. Hayato Matsuoka is trading at 93.5¢, implying a 94% probability. 24-hour volume is $22.0K. Resolves Jul 21, 2026.
Simulate your payout
- 24-hour volume
- $22.0K
- Total volume
- $22.0K
- Liquidity
- $97.6K
- Resolves
- Jul 21, 2026
- Event
- Lincoln: Hayato Matsuoka vs Hiroki Moriya
- Hosted on
- Polymarket
- Resolution source
- link
About this market
This market refers to the tennis match between Hayato Matsuoka and Hiroki Moriya in the Lincoln, originally scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hayato Matsuoka' if Hayato Matsuoka advances against Hiroki Moriya. This market will resolve to 'Hiroki Moriya' if Hiroki Moriya advances against Hayato Matsuoka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
What is this prediction market about?
This is a Polymarket prediction market asking: "Lincoln: Hayato Matsuoka vs Hiroki Moriya". Traders buy "Hayato Matsuoka" tokens if they think the event will occur, or "Hiroki Moriya" tokens if they think it will not. Each token's price (in cents on the dollar) represents the market's consensus probability of that outcome.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices "Hayato Matsuoka" at 93.5¢, which implies a 94% probability. "Hiroki Moriya" trades at 6.5¢. The probability updates in real time as traders buy and sell.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on Jul 21, 2026. After resolution, the winning side's tokens redeem at $1 each (in USDC) and the losing side at $0.
How is the outcome decided?
Resolution is determined by the source specified by the market (https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current). Polymarket uses UMA's optimistic oracle to finalize outcomes — a proposed result is submitted, and anyone may dispute it within a challenge window before settlement.
What does buying YES or NO actually mean?
"Hayato Matsuoka" and "Hiroki Moriya" are outcome tokens on the Polygon blockchain. Each one pays out $1 in USDC if its outcome resolves true, otherwise $0. If you buy "Hayato Matsuoka" at 93.5¢ and the outcome resolves "Hayato Matsuoka", you receive $1 per token; if it resolves "Hiroki Moriya", your "Hayato Matsuoka" tokens are worth nothing.
How much trading activity is there?
Over the last 24 hours, $22.0K has been traded on this market. Total volume since the market opened is $22.0K. Current order-book liquidity is $97.6K — the amount that can be filled at or near the mid-price without significant slippage.
Where is this market hosted?
On Polymarket, the largest prediction-market platform in the world. Polymarket runs on the Polygon blockchain and uses USDC as collateral.
Is Polymarket available everywhere?
No. Polymarket is geographically restricted. Trading is blocked in some jurisdictions, including the United States. Polymarket detects your location and prevents deposits and trades where the service is unavailable. Always verify access from your country before depositing funds.
Can I see the live order book and top holders?
Yes. Spreadiction surfaces the live CLOB order book, top holders by USD value, recent whale trades and derived analytics for every active Polymarket market. Use the navigation: Markets, Whales, Signals, Alpha, Scanner.
Is anything on this page investment advice?
No. Spreadiction is an analytics tool. Nothing on this page is investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Prediction markets carry substantial risk of loss. See the full disclaimer for details.
Trade this market
Trading happens on Polymarket. You will need a Polygon wallet with USDC. Polymarket is geographically restricted — verify access from your jurisdiction before depositing.
Open on Polymarket →