Spreadiction

Wimbledon ATP: Mariano Navone vs Flavio Cobolli

A prediction market on Polymarket. Mariano Navone is trading at 12.5¢, implying a 13% probability. 24-hour volume is $211.8K. Resolves Jul 6, 2026.

12.5¢
13% probability
87.5¢
88% probability

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24-hour volume
$211.8K
Total volume
$223.0K
Liquidity
$17.4K
Resolves
Jul 6, 2026
Event
Wimbledon ATP: Mariano Navone vs Flavio Cobolli
Hosted on
Polymarket
Resolution source
link

About this market

This market refers to the tennis match between Mariano Navone and Flavio Cobolli in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Flavio Cobolli. This market will resolve to 'Flavio Cobolli' if Flavio Cobolli advances against Mariano Navone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

What is this prediction market about?

This is a Polymarket prediction market asking: "Wimbledon ATP: Mariano Navone vs Flavio Cobolli". Traders buy "Mariano Navone" tokens if they think the event will occur, or "Flavio Cobolli" tokens if they think it will not. Each token's price (in cents on the dollar) represents the market's consensus probability of that outcome.

What is the current probability?

The market currently prices "Mariano Navone" at 12.5¢, which implies a 13% probability. "Flavio Cobolli" trades at 87.5¢. The probability updates in real time as traders buy and sell.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on Jul 6, 2026. After resolution, the winning side's tokens redeem at $1 each (in USDC) and the losing side at $0.

How is the outcome decided?

Resolution is determined by the source specified by the market (https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current). Polymarket uses UMA's optimistic oracle to finalize outcomes — a proposed result is submitted, and anyone may dispute it within a challenge window before settlement.

What does buying YES or NO actually mean?

"Mariano Navone" and "Flavio Cobolli" are outcome tokens on the Polygon blockchain. Each one pays out $1 in USDC if its outcome resolves true, otherwise $0. If you buy "Mariano Navone" at 12.5¢ and the outcome resolves "Mariano Navone", you receive $1 per token; if it resolves "Flavio Cobolli", your "Mariano Navone" tokens are worth nothing.

How much trading activity is there?

Over the last 24 hours, $211.8K has been traded on this market. Total volume since the market opened is $223.0K. Current order-book liquidity is $17.4K — the amount that can be filled at or near the mid-price without significant slippage.

Where is this market hosted?

On Polymarket, the largest prediction-market platform in the world. Polymarket runs on the Polygon blockchain and uses USDC as collateral.

Is Polymarket available everywhere?

No. Polymarket is geographically restricted. Trading is blocked in some jurisdictions, including the United States. Polymarket detects your location and prevents deposits and trades where the service is unavailable. Always verify access from your country before depositing funds.

Can I see the live order book and top holders?

Yes. Spreadiction surfaces the live CLOB order book, top holders by USD value, recent whale trades and derived analytics for every active Polymarket market. Use the navigation: Markets, Whales, Signals, Alpha, Scanner.

Is anything on this page investment advice?

No. Spreadiction is an analytics tool. Nothing on this page is investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Prediction markets carry substantial risk of loss. See the full disclaimer for details.

Trade this market

Trading happens on Polymarket. You will need a Polygon wallet with USDC. Polymarket is geographically restricted — verify access from your jurisdiction before depositing.

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