Bonn: Johan Nikles vs Alex Barrena
A prediction market on Polymarket. Johan Nikles is trading at 19.0¢, implying a 19% probability. 24-hour volume is $115.9K. Resolves Aug 4, 2026.
Simulate your payout
- 24-hour volume
- $115.9K
- Total volume
- $115.9K
- Liquidity
- $154.3K
- Resolves
- Aug 4, 2026
- Event
- Bonn: Johan Nikles vs Alex Barrena
- Hosted on
- Polymarket
- Resolution source
- link
About this market
This market refers to the tennis match between Johan Nikles and Alex Barrena in the Bonn, originally scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Johan Nikles' if Johan Nikles advances against Alex Barrena. This market will resolve to 'Alex Barrena' if Alex Barrena advances against Johan Nikles. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
What is this prediction market about?
This is a Polymarket prediction market asking: "Bonn: Johan Nikles vs Alex Barrena". Traders buy "Johan Nikles" tokens if they think the event will occur, or "Alex Barrena" tokens if they think it will not. Each token's price (in cents on the dollar) represents the market's consensus probability of that outcome.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices "Johan Nikles" at 19.0¢, which implies a 19% probability. "Alex Barrena" trades at 81.0¢. The probability updates in real time as traders buy and sell.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on Aug 4, 2026. After resolution, the winning side's tokens redeem at $1 each (in USDC) and the losing side at $0.
How is the outcome decided?
Resolution is determined by the source specified by the market (https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current). Polymarket uses UMA's optimistic oracle to finalize outcomes — a proposed result is submitted, and anyone may dispute it within a challenge window before settlement.
What does buying YES or NO actually mean?
"Johan Nikles" and "Alex Barrena" are outcome tokens on the Polygon blockchain. Each one pays out $1 in USDC if its outcome resolves true, otherwise $0. If you buy "Johan Nikles" at 19.0¢ and the outcome resolves "Johan Nikles", you receive $1 per token; if it resolves "Alex Barrena", your "Johan Nikles" tokens are worth nothing.
How much trading activity is there?
Over the last 24 hours, $115.9K has been traded on this market. Total volume since the market opened is $115.9K. Current order-book liquidity is $154.3K — the amount that can be filled at or near the mid-price without significant slippage.
Where is this market hosted?
On Polymarket, the largest prediction-market platform in the world. Polymarket runs on the Polygon blockchain and uses USDC as collateral.
Is Polymarket available everywhere?
No. Polymarket is geographically restricted. Trading is blocked in some jurisdictions, including the United States. Polymarket detects your location and prevents deposits and trades where the service is unavailable. Always verify access from your country before depositing funds.
Can I see the live order book and top holders?
Yes. Spreadiction surfaces the live CLOB order book, top holders by USD value, recent whale trades and derived analytics for every active Polymarket market. Use the navigation: Markets, Whales, Signals, Alpha, Scanner.
Is anything on this page investment advice?
No. Spreadiction is an analytics tool. Nothing on this page is investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Prediction markets carry substantial risk of loss. See the full disclaimer for details.
Trade this market
Trading happens on Polymarket. You will need a Polygon wallet with USDC. Polymarket is geographically restricted — verify access from your jurisdiction before depositing.
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