Wimbledon ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Pablo Carreno Busta
A prediction market on Polymarket. Denis Shapovalov is trading at 71.5¢, implying a 72% probability. 24-hour volume is $5.1K. Resolves Jul 6, 2026.
- 24-hour volume
- $5.1K
- Total volume
- $8.6K
- Liquidity
- $124.8K
- Resolves
- Jul 6, 2026
- Hosted on
- Polymarket
- Resolution source
- link
About this market
This market refers to the tennis match between Denis Shapovalov and Pablo Carreno Busta in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Denis Shapovalov' if Denis Shapovalov advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Denis Shapovalov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
What is this prediction market about?
This is a Polymarket prediction market asking: "Wimbledon ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Pablo Carreno Busta". Traders buy "Denis Shapovalov" tokens if they think the event will occur, or "Pablo Carreno Busta" tokens if they think it will not. Each token's price (in cents on the dollar) represents the market's consensus probability of that outcome.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices "Denis Shapovalov" at 71.5¢, which implies a 72% probability. "Pablo Carreno Busta" trades at 28.5¢. The probability updates in real time as traders buy and sell.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on Jul 6, 2026. After resolution, the winning side's tokens redeem at $1 each (in USDC) and the losing side at $0.
How is the outcome decided?
Resolution is determined by the source specified by the market (https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current). Polymarket uses UMA's optimistic oracle to finalize outcomes — a proposed result is submitted, and anyone may dispute it within a challenge window before settlement.
What does buying YES or NO actually mean?
"Denis Shapovalov" and "Pablo Carreno Busta" are outcome tokens on the Polygon blockchain. Each one pays out $1 in USDC if its outcome resolves true, otherwise $0. If you buy "Denis Shapovalov" at 71.5¢ and the outcome resolves "Denis Shapovalov", you receive $1 per token; if it resolves "Pablo Carreno Busta", your "Denis Shapovalov" tokens are worth nothing.
How much trading activity is there?
Over the last 24 hours, $5.1K has been traded on this market. Total volume since the market opened is $8.6K. Current order-book liquidity is $124.8K — the amount that can be filled at or near the mid-price without significant slippage.
Where is this market hosted?
On Polymarket, the largest prediction-market platform in the world. Polymarket runs on the Polygon blockchain and uses USDC as collateral.
Is Polymarket available everywhere?
No. Polymarket is geographically restricted. Trading is blocked in some jurisdictions, including the United States. Polymarket detects your location and prevents deposits and trades where the service is unavailable. Always verify access from your country before depositing funds.
Can I see the live order book and top holders?
Yes. Spreadiction surfaces the live CLOB order book, top holders by USD value, recent whale trades and derived analytics for every active Polymarket market. Use the navigation: Markets, Whales, Signals, Alpha, Scanner.
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Trade this market
Trading happens on Polymarket. You will need a Polygon wallet with USDC. Polymarket is geographically restricted — verify access from your jurisdiction before depositing.
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