Spreadiction

South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance

A prediction market on Polymarket. South Africa is trading at 25.5¢, implying a 26% probability. 24-hour volume is $283.8K. Resolves Jun 28, 2026.

25.5¢
26% probability
74.5¢
75% probability
24-hour volume
$283.8K
Total volume
$295.0K
Liquidity
$508.4K
Resolves
Jun 28, 2026
Hosted on
Polymarket
Resolution source
link

About this market

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between South Africa and Canada, scheduled for June 28 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "South Africa" if South Africa is the team that officially advances from this match to the next round of the FIFA World Cup, or is crowned winner of the competition if this match is the final. This market will resolve to "Canada" if Canada is the team that officially advances from this match to the next round of the FIFA World Cup, or is crowned winner of the competition if this match is the final. This includes advancement after regulation, extra time, a penalty shoot-out, or an official ruling by the competition organizer such as forfeit, abandonment, or disqualification. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed or a team is officially declared to advance. If the game is canceled entirely and no team advances from this match, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

What is this prediction market about?

This is a Polymarket prediction market asking: "South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance". Traders buy "South Africa" tokens if they think the event will occur, or "Canada" tokens if they think it will not. Each token's price (in cents on the dollar) represents the market's consensus probability of that outcome.

What is the current probability?

The market currently prices "South Africa" at 25.5¢, which implies a 26% probability. "Canada" trades at 74.5¢. The probability updates in real time as traders buy and sell.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on Jun 28, 2026. After resolution, the winning side's tokens redeem at $1 each (in USDC) and the losing side at $0.

How is the outcome decided?

Resolution is determined by the source specified by the market (https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup). Polymarket uses UMA's optimistic oracle to finalize outcomes — a proposed result is submitted, and anyone may dispute it within a challenge window before settlement.

What does buying YES or NO actually mean?

"South Africa" and "Canada" are outcome tokens on the Polygon blockchain. Each one pays out $1 in USDC if its outcome resolves true, otherwise $0. If you buy "South Africa" at 25.5¢ and the outcome resolves "South Africa", you receive $1 per token; if it resolves "Canada", your "South Africa" tokens are worth nothing.

How much trading activity is there?

Over the last 24 hours, $283.8K has been traded on this market. Total volume since the market opened is $295.0K. Current order-book liquidity is $508.4K — the amount that can be filled at or near the mid-price without significant slippage.

Where is this market hosted?

On Polymarket, the largest prediction-market platform in the world. Polymarket runs on the Polygon blockchain and uses USDC as collateral.

Is Polymarket available everywhere?

No. Polymarket is geographically restricted. Trading is blocked in some jurisdictions, including the United States. Polymarket detects your location and prevents deposits and trades where the service is unavailable. Always verify access from your country before depositing funds.

Can I see the live order book and top holders?

Yes. Spreadiction surfaces the live CLOB order book, top holders by USD value, recent whale trades and derived analytics for every active Polymarket market. Use the navigation: Markets, Whales, Signals, Alpha, Scanner.

Is anything on this page investment advice?

No. Spreadiction is an analytics tool. Nothing on this page is investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Prediction markets carry substantial risk of loss. See the full disclaimer for details.

Trade this market

Trading happens on Polymarket. You will need a Polygon wallet with USDC. Polymarket is geographically restricted — verify access from your jurisdiction before depositing.

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