Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)
A prediction market on Polymarket. Pittsburgh Pirates is trading at 44.5¢, implying a 45% probability. 24-hour volume is $7.7K. Resolves Jun 26, 2026.
- 24-hour volume
- $7.7K
- Total volume
- $7.7K
- Liquidity
- $163.9K
- Resolves
- Jun 26, 2026
- Hosted on
- Polymarket
- Resolution source
- link
About this market
In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for June 26 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Frequently asked questions
What is this prediction market about?
This is a Polymarket prediction market asking: "Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)". Traders buy "Pittsburgh Pirates" tokens if they think the event will occur, or "Cincinnati Reds" tokens if they think it will not. Each token's price (in cents on the dollar) represents the market's consensus probability of that outcome.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices "Pittsburgh Pirates" at 44.5¢, which implies a 45% probability. "Cincinnati Reds" trades at 55.5¢. The probability updates in real time as traders buy and sell.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on Jun 26, 2026. After resolution, the winning side's tokens redeem at $1 each (in USDC) and the losing side at $0.
How is the outcome decided?
Resolution is determined by the source specified by the market (https://www.mlb.com/scores). Polymarket uses UMA's optimistic oracle to finalize outcomes — a proposed result is submitted, and anyone may dispute it within a challenge window before settlement.
What does buying YES or NO actually mean?
"Pittsburgh Pirates" and "Cincinnati Reds" are outcome tokens on the Polygon blockchain. Each one pays out $1 in USDC if its outcome resolves true, otherwise $0. If you buy "Pittsburgh Pirates" at 44.5¢ and the outcome resolves "Pittsburgh Pirates", you receive $1 per token; if it resolves "Cincinnati Reds", your "Pittsburgh Pirates" tokens are worth nothing.
How much trading activity is there?
Over the last 24 hours, $7.7K has been traded on this market. Total volume since the market opened is $7.7K. Current order-book liquidity is $163.9K — the amount that can be filled at or near the mid-price without significant slippage.
Where is this market hosted?
On Polymarket, the largest prediction-market platform in the world. Polymarket runs on the Polygon blockchain and uses USDC as collateral.
Is Polymarket available everywhere?
No. Polymarket is geographically restricted. Trading is blocked in some jurisdictions, including the United States. Polymarket detects your location and prevents deposits and trades where the service is unavailable. Always verify access from your country before depositing funds.
Can I see the live order book and top holders?
Yes. Spreadiction surfaces the live CLOB order book, top holders by USD value, recent whale trades and derived analytics for every active Polymarket market. Use the navigation: Markets, Whales, Signals, Alpha, Scanner.
Is anything on this page investment advice?
No. Spreadiction is an analytics tool. Nothing on this page is investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Prediction markets carry substantial risk of loss. See the full disclaimer for details.
Trade this market
Trading happens on Polymarket. You will need a Polygon wallet with USDC. Polymarket is geographically restricted — verify access from your jurisdiction before depositing.
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