Spreadiction

1st 5 Innings Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)

A prediction market on Polymarket. Miami Marlins is trading at 28.5¢, implying a 28% probability. 24-hour volume is $0. Resolves Jun 30, 2026.

28.5¢
28% probability
71.5¢
72% probability
24-hour volume
$0
Total volume
$0
Liquidity
$159
Resolves
Jun 30, 2026
Event
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies
Hosted on
Polymarket
Resolution source
link

About this market

In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for June 29 at 8:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins is winning the game by 3 or more runs at the conclusion of the 5th inning. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies". If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

What is this prediction market about?

This is a Polymarket prediction market asking: "1st 5 Innings Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)". Traders buy "Miami Marlins" tokens if they think the event will occur, or "Colorado Rockies" tokens if they think it will not. Each token's price (in cents on the dollar) represents the market's consensus probability of that outcome.

What is the current probability?

The market currently prices "Miami Marlins" at 28.5¢, which implies a 28% probability. "Colorado Rockies" trades at 71.5¢. The probability updates in real time as traders buy and sell.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on Jun 30, 2026. After resolution, the winning side's tokens redeem at $1 each (in USDC) and the losing side at $0.

How is the outcome decided?

Resolution is determined by the source specified by the market (https://www.mlb.com/scores). Polymarket uses UMA's optimistic oracle to finalize outcomes — a proposed result is submitted, and anyone may dispute it within a challenge window before settlement.

What does buying YES or NO actually mean?

"Miami Marlins" and "Colorado Rockies" are outcome tokens on the Polygon blockchain. Each one pays out $1 in USDC if its outcome resolves true, otherwise $0. If you buy "Miami Marlins" at 28.5¢ and the outcome resolves "Miami Marlins", you receive $1 per token; if it resolves "Colorado Rockies", your "Miami Marlins" tokens are worth nothing.

How much trading activity is there?

Over the last 24 hours, $0 has been traded on this market. Total volume since the market opened is $0. Current order-book liquidity is $159 — the amount that can be filled at or near the mid-price without significant slippage.

Where is this market hosted?

On Polymarket, the largest prediction-market platform in the world. Polymarket runs on the Polygon blockchain and uses USDC as collateral.

Is Polymarket available everywhere?

No. Polymarket is geographically restricted. Trading is blocked in some jurisdictions, including the United States. Polymarket detects your location and prevents deposits and trades where the service is unavailable. Always verify access from your country before depositing funds.

Can I see the live order book and top holders?

Yes. Spreadiction surfaces the live CLOB order book, top holders by USD value, recent whale trades and derived analytics for every active Polymarket market. Use the navigation: Markets, Whales, Signals, Alpha, Scanner.

Is anything on this page investment advice?

No. Spreadiction is an analytics tool. Nothing on this page is investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Prediction markets carry substantial risk of loss. See the full disclaimer for details.

Trade this market

Trading happens on Polymarket. You will need a Polygon wallet with USDC. Polymarket is geographically restricted — verify access from your jurisdiction before depositing.

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