Spreadiction

Stephen Song

A prediction market on Polymarket. Yes is trading at 97.5¢, implying a 97% probability. 24-hour volume is $0.

97.5¢
97% probability
2.5¢
3% probability

Simulate your payout

$

Trade on Polymarket →
24-hour volume
$0
Total volume
$5
Liquidity
$95
Event
WSOP 2026 Main Event: Which Players Will Cash
Hosted on
Polymarket
Resolution source
Polymarket / UMA oracle

About this market

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player finishes the 2026 World Series of Poker Main Event, Event #82, held July 2–13, 2026, with the final table played August 3–5, 2026 in a paid finishing position i.e., is awarded a payout per the official tournament payout structure. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No." If the listed player does not enter or play the 2026 WSOP Main Event, this market will resolve "No." Any case in which it cannot be clearly established that the listed player finished in a paid position will resolve "No." If the 2026 WSOP Main Event is cancelled, or is not completed such that final paid finishing positions are not determined by August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (two weeks after the scheduled conclusion of the final table on August 5, 2026), this market will resolve to "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the World Series of Poker (https://www.wsop.com). A consensus of credible reporting (e.g., the Hendon Mob poker database at https://pokerdb.thehendonmob.com) may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

What is this prediction market about?

This is a Polymarket prediction market asking: "Stephen Song". Traders buy "Yes" tokens if they think the event will occur, or "No" tokens if they think it will not. Each token's price (in cents on the dollar) represents the market's consensus probability of that outcome.

What is the current probability?

The market currently prices "Yes" at 97.5¢, which implies a 97% probability. "No" trades at 2.5¢. The probability updates in real time as traders buy and sell.

How is the outcome decided?

Resolution follows Polymarket's standard process via UMA's optimistic oracle: a proposed outcome is submitted, and anyone may dispute it within a challenge window before settlement.

What does buying YES or NO actually mean?

"Yes" and "No" are outcome tokens on the Polygon blockchain. Each one pays out $1 in USDC if its outcome resolves true, otherwise $0. If you buy "Yes" at 97.5¢ and the outcome resolves "Yes", you receive $1 per token; if it resolves "No", your "Yes" tokens are worth nothing.

How much trading activity is there?

Over the last 24 hours, $0 has been traded on this market. Total volume since the market opened is $5. Current order-book liquidity is $95 — the amount that can be filled at or near the mid-price without significant slippage.

Where is this market hosted?

On Polymarket, the largest prediction-market platform in the world. Polymarket runs on the Polygon blockchain and uses USDC as collateral.

Is Polymarket available everywhere?

No. Polymarket is geographically restricted. Trading is blocked in some jurisdictions, including the United States. Polymarket detects your location and prevents deposits and trades where the service is unavailable. Always verify access from your country before depositing funds.

Can I see the live order book and top holders?

Yes. Spreadiction surfaces the live CLOB order book, top holders by USD value, recent whale trades and derived analytics for every active Polymarket market. Use the navigation: Markets, Whales, Signals, Alpha, Scanner.

Is anything on this page investment advice?

No. Spreadiction is an analytics tool. Nothing on this page is investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Prediction markets carry substantial risk of loss. See the full disclaimer for details.

Trade this market

Trading happens on Polymarket. You will need a Polygon wallet with USDC. Polymarket is geographically restricted — verify access from your jurisdiction before depositing.

Open on Polymarket →