UFC 329: Cesar Almeida vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
A prediction market on Polymarket. Cesar Almeida is trading at 30.5¢, implying a 31% probability. 24-hour volume is $288.7K. Resolves Jul 12, 2026.
Simulate your payout
- 24-hour volume
- $288.7K
- Total volume
- $305.6K
- Liquidity
- $111.4K
- Resolves
- Jul 12, 2026
- Event
- UFC 329: Cesar Almeida vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
- Hosted on
- Polymarket
- Resolution source
- link
About this market
This market will resolve to "Cesar Almeida" if Cesar Almeida is officially declared the winner of the fight against Damian Pinas at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Damian Pinas" if Damian Pinas is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Frequently asked questions
What is this prediction market about?
This is a Polymarket prediction market asking: "UFC 329: Cesar Almeida vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Early Prelims)". Traders buy "Cesar Almeida" tokens if they think the event will occur, or "Damian Pinas" tokens if they think it will not. Each token's price (in cents on the dollar) represents the market's consensus probability of that outcome.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices "Cesar Almeida" at 30.5¢, which implies a 31% probability. "Damian Pinas" trades at 69.5¢. The probability updates in real time as traders buy and sell.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on Jul 12, 2026. After resolution, the winning side's tokens redeem at $1 each (in USDC) and the losing side at $0.
How is the outcome decided?
Resolution is determined by the source specified by the market (https://www.ufc.com/events). Polymarket uses UMA's optimistic oracle to finalize outcomes — a proposed result is submitted, and anyone may dispute it within a challenge window before settlement.
What does buying YES or NO actually mean?
"Cesar Almeida" and "Damian Pinas" are outcome tokens on the Polygon blockchain. Each one pays out $1 in USDC if its outcome resolves true, otherwise $0. If you buy "Cesar Almeida" at 30.5¢ and the outcome resolves "Cesar Almeida", you receive $1 per token; if it resolves "Damian Pinas", your "Cesar Almeida" tokens are worth nothing.
How much trading activity is there?
Over the last 24 hours, $288.7K has been traded on this market. Total volume since the market opened is $305.6K. Current order-book liquidity is $111.4K — the amount that can be filled at or near the mid-price without significant slippage.
Where is this market hosted?
On Polymarket, the largest prediction-market platform in the world. Polymarket runs on the Polygon blockchain and uses USDC as collateral.
Is Polymarket available everywhere?
No. Polymarket is geographically restricted. Trading is blocked in some jurisdictions, including the United States. Polymarket detects your location and prevents deposits and trades where the service is unavailable. Always verify access from your country before depositing funds.
Can I see the live order book and top holders?
Yes. Spreadiction surfaces the live CLOB order book, top holders by USD value, recent whale trades and derived analytics for every active Polymarket market. Use the navigation: Markets, Whales, Signals, Alpha, Scanner.
Is anything on this page investment advice?
No. Spreadiction is an analytics tool. Nothing on this page is investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Prediction markets carry substantial risk of loss. See the full disclaimer for details.
Trade this market
Trading happens on Polymarket. You will need a Polygon wallet with USDC. Polymarket is geographically restricted — verify access from your jurisdiction before depositing.
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