Spreadiction

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?

A prediction market on Polymarket. Yes is trading at 6.5¢, implying a 7% probability. 24-hour volume is $165.4K. Resolves Jun 30, 2026.

6.5¢
7% probability
93.5¢
94% probability
24-hour volume
$165.4K
Total volume
$171.0K
Liquidity
$33.6K
Resolves
Jun 30, 2026
Hosted on
Polymarket
Resolution source
link

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy Incorporated announces that they have acquired additional Bitcoin between the dates in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last date). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on announcements made within the market's designated time frame regardless of when the actual purchases were made. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor. For reference, MicroStrategy's reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases

Frequently asked questions

What is this prediction market about?

This is a Polymarket prediction market asking: "Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?". Traders buy "Yes" tokens if they think the event will occur, or "No" tokens if they think it will not. Each token's price (in cents on the dollar) represents the market's consensus probability of that outcome.

What is the current probability?

The market currently prices "Yes" at 6.5¢, which implies a 7% probability. "No" trades at 93.5¢. The probability updates in real time as traders buy and sell.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on Jun 30, 2026. After resolution, the winning side's tokens redeem at $1 each (in USDC) and the losing side at $0.

How is the outcome decided?

Resolution is determined by the source specified by the market (https://www.strategy.com/purchases). Polymarket uses UMA's optimistic oracle to finalize outcomes — a proposed result is submitted, and anyone may dispute it within a challenge window before settlement.

What does buying YES or NO actually mean?

"Yes" and "No" are outcome tokens on the Polygon blockchain. Each one pays out $1 in USDC if its outcome resolves true, otherwise $0. If you buy "Yes" at 6.5¢ and the outcome resolves "Yes", you receive $1 per token; if it resolves "No", your "Yes" tokens are worth nothing.

How much trading activity is there?

Over the last 24 hours, $165.4K has been traded on this market. Total volume since the market opened is $171.0K. Current order-book liquidity is $33.6K — the amount that can be filled at or near the mid-price without significant slippage.

Where is this market hosted?

On Polymarket, the largest prediction-market platform in the world. Polymarket runs on the Polygon blockchain and uses USDC as collateral.

Is Polymarket available everywhere?

No. Polymarket is geographically restricted. Trading is blocked in some jurisdictions, including the United States. Polymarket detects your location and prevents deposits and trades where the service is unavailable. Always verify access from your country before depositing funds.

Can I see the live order book and top holders?

Yes. Spreadiction surfaces the live CLOB order book, top holders by USD value, recent whale trades and derived analytics for every active Polymarket market. Use the navigation: Markets, Whales, Signals, Alpha, Scanner.

Is anything on this page investment advice?

No. Spreadiction is an analytics tool. Nothing on this page is investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Prediction markets carry substantial risk of loss. See the full disclaimer for details.

Trade this market

Trading happens on Polymarket. You will need a Polygon wallet with USDC. Polymarket is geographically restricted — verify access from your jurisdiction before depositing.

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