Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?
A prediction market on Polymarket. Yes is trading at 88.8¢, implying a 89% probability. 24-hour volume is $60.0K. Resolves Dec 31, 2026.
Simulate your payout
- 24-hour volume
- $60.0K
- Total volume
- $101.4K
- Liquidity
- $48.8K
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- Event
- Oleksandr Syrskyi out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by...?
- Hosted on
- Polymarket
- Resolution source
- Polymarket / UMA oracle
About this market
This market resolves to “Yes” if Oleksandr Syrskyi’s departure as Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The departure will be considered to be announced when Oleksandr Syrskyi, the President of Ukraine, the Office of the President of Ukraine, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Syrskyi has ceased or will cease to hold the position of Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify. Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify). Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if certain conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives. If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify. If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the end of their scheduled term without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to “Yes” if a consensus of credible reporting confirms the departure by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Oleksandr Syrskyi, the President of Ukraine, and the Office of the President of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
What is this prediction market about?
This is a Polymarket prediction market asking: "Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?". Traders buy "Yes" tokens if they think the event will occur, or "No" tokens if they think it will not. Each token's price (in cents on the dollar) represents the market's consensus probability of that outcome.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices "Yes" at 88.8¢, which implies a 89% probability. "No" trades at 11.3¢. The probability updates in real time as traders buy and sell.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on Dec 31, 2026. After resolution, the winning side's tokens redeem at $1 each (in USDC) and the losing side at $0.
How is the outcome decided?
Resolution follows Polymarket's standard process via UMA's optimistic oracle: a proposed outcome is submitted, and anyone may dispute it within a challenge window before settlement.
What does buying YES or NO actually mean?
"Yes" and "No" are outcome tokens on the Polygon blockchain. Each one pays out $1 in USDC if its outcome resolves true, otherwise $0. If you buy "Yes" at 88.8¢ and the outcome resolves "Yes", you receive $1 per token; if it resolves "No", your "Yes" tokens are worth nothing.
How much trading activity is there?
Over the last 24 hours, $60.0K has been traded on this market. Total volume since the market opened is $101.4K. Current order-book liquidity is $48.8K — the amount that can be filled at or near the mid-price without significant slippage.
Where is this market hosted?
On Polymarket, the largest prediction-market platform in the world. Polymarket runs on the Polygon blockchain and uses USDC as collateral.
Is Polymarket available everywhere?
No. Polymarket is geographically restricted. Trading is blocked in some jurisdictions, including the United States. Polymarket detects your location and prevents deposits and trades where the service is unavailable. Always verify access from your country before depositing funds.
Can I see the live order book and top holders?
Yes. Spreadiction surfaces the live CLOB order book, top holders by USD value, recent whale trades and derived analytics for every active Polymarket market. Use the navigation: Markets, Whales, Signals, Alpha, Scanner.
Is anything on this page investment advice?
No. Spreadiction is an analytics tool. Nothing on this page is investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Prediction markets carry substantial risk of loss. See the full disclaimer for details.
Trade this market
Trading happens on Polymarket. You will need a Polygon wallet with USDC. Polymarket is geographically restricted — verify access from your jurisdiction before depositing.
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