Spreadiction

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

A prediction market on Polymarket. Yes is trading at 83.0¢, implying a 83% probability. 24-hour volume is $124.

83.0¢
83% probability
17.0¢
17% probability
24-hour volume
$124
Total volume
$492.8K
Liquidity
$17.8K
Hosted on
Polymarket
Resolution source
Polymarket / UMA oracle

About this market

This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify. Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify. If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027". Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.

Frequently asked questions

What is this prediction market about?

This is a Polymarket prediction market asking: "Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?". Traders buy "Yes" tokens if they think the event will occur, or "No" tokens if they think it will not. Each token's price (in cents on the dollar) represents the market's consensus probability of that outcome.

What is the current probability?

The market currently prices "Yes" at 83.0¢, which implies a 83% probability. "No" trades at 17.0¢. The probability updates in real time as traders buy and sell.

How is the outcome decided?

Resolution follows Polymarket's standard process via UMA's optimistic oracle: a proposed outcome is submitted, and anyone may dispute it within a challenge window before settlement.

What does buying YES or NO actually mean?

"Yes" and "No" are outcome tokens on the Polygon blockchain. Each one pays out $1 in USDC if its outcome resolves true, otherwise $0. If you buy "Yes" at 83.0¢ and the outcome resolves "Yes", you receive $1 per token; if it resolves "No", your "Yes" tokens are worth nothing.

How much trading activity is there?

Over the last 24 hours, $124 has been traded on this market. Total volume since the market opened is $492.8K. Current order-book liquidity is $17.8K — the amount that can be filled at or near the mid-price without significant slippage.

Where is this market hosted?

On Polymarket, the largest prediction-market platform in the world. Polymarket runs on the Polygon blockchain and uses USDC as collateral.

Is Polymarket available everywhere?

No. Polymarket is geographically restricted. Trading is blocked in some jurisdictions, including the United States. Polymarket detects your location and prevents deposits and trades where the service is unavailable. Always verify access from your country before depositing funds.

Can I see the live order book and top holders?

Yes. Spreadiction surfaces the live CLOB order book, top holders by USD value, recent whale trades and derived analytics for every active Polymarket market. Use the navigation: Markets, Whales, Signals, Alpha, Scanner.

Is anything on this page investment advice?

No. Spreadiction is an analytics tool. Nothing on this page is investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Prediction markets carry substantial risk of loss. See the full disclaimer for details.

Trade this market

Trading happens on Polymarket. You will need a Polygon wallet with USDC. Polymarket is geographically restricted — verify access from your jurisdiction before depositing.

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