Will Slovakia pass the 2026 referendum question restoring the Office of the Special Prosecutor and National Crime Agency?
A prediction market on Polymarket. Yes is trading at 0.1¢, implying a 0% probability. 24-hour volume is $290. Resolves Jul 4, 2026.
Simulate your payout
- 24-hour volume
- $290
- Total volume
- $5.3K
- Liquidity
- $43.4K
- Resolves
- Jul 4, 2026
- Event
- 2026 Slovakia Referendum: What will pass?
- Hosted on
- Polymarket
- Resolution source
- Polymarket / UMA oracle
About this market
Voting in the 2026 Slovak referendum is currently scheduled to be held on July 4, 2026. Referendum question 2 asks whether to restore the Office of the Special Prosecutor and National Crime Agency. You can find more information about the referendum here: https://volbysr.sk/sk/referendova_otazka.html. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Slovakia passes the specified referendum question. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the referendum question is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. If no qualifying vote on the specified referendum question is passed or the results of the specified referendum question are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified referendum question is scheduled to be held later than December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the vote on the specified referendum question is held and fails to reach the minimum voter turnout for result validity under Slovak law, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the Slovak government, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volbysr.sk/sk/referendova_otazka.html). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Frequently asked questions
What is this prediction market about?
This is a Polymarket prediction market asking: "Will Slovakia pass the 2026 referendum question restoring the Office of the Special Prosecutor and National Crime Agency?". Traders buy "Yes" tokens if they think the event will occur, or "No" tokens if they think it will not. Each token's price (in cents on the dollar) represents the market's consensus probability of that outcome.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices "Yes" at 0.1¢, which implies a 0% probability. "No" trades at 100.0¢. The probability updates in real time as traders buy and sell.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on Jul 4, 2026. After resolution, the winning side's tokens redeem at $1 each (in USDC) and the losing side at $0.
How is the outcome decided?
Resolution follows Polymarket's standard process via UMA's optimistic oracle: a proposed outcome is submitted, and anyone may dispute it within a challenge window before settlement.
What does buying YES or NO actually mean?
"Yes" and "No" are outcome tokens on the Polygon blockchain. Each one pays out $1 in USDC if its outcome resolves true, otherwise $0. If you buy "Yes" at 0.1¢ and the outcome resolves "Yes", you receive $1 per token; if it resolves "No", your "Yes" tokens are worth nothing.
How much trading activity is there?
Over the last 24 hours, $290 has been traded on this market. Total volume since the market opened is $5.3K. Current order-book liquidity is $43.4K — the amount that can be filled at or near the mid-price without significant slippage.
Where is this market hosted?
On Polymarket, the largest prediction-market platform in the world. Polymarket runs on the Polygon blockchain and uses USDC as collateral.
Is Polymarket available everywhere?
No. Polymarket is geographically restricted. Trading is blocked in some jurisdictions, including the United States. Polymarket detects your location and prevents deposits and trades where the service is unavailable. Always verify access from your country before depositing funds.
Can I see the live order book and top holders?
Yes. Spreadiction surfaces the live CLOB order book, top holders by USD value, recent whale trades and derived analytics for every active Polymarket market. Use the navigation: Markets, Whales, Signals, Alpha, Scanner.
Is anything on this page investment advice?
No. Spreadiction is an analytics tool. Nothing on this page is investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Prediction markets carry substantial risk of loss. See the full disclaimer for details.
Trade this market
Trading happens on Polymarket. You will need a Polygon wallet with USDC. Polymarket is geographically restricted — verify access from your jurisdiction before depositing.
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