Spreadiction

Will The Bride! get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

A prediction market on Polymarket. Yes is trading at 0.4¢, implying a 0% probability. 24-hour volume is $0. Resolves Feb 28, 2027.

0.4¢
0% probability
99.7¢
100% probability
24-hour volume
$0
Total volume
$1.5K
Liquidity
$4.0K
Resolves
Feb 28, 2027
Event
Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Hosted on
Polymarket
Resolution source
Polymarket / UMA oracle

About this market

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film. In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

What is this prediction market about?

This is a Polymarket prediction market asking: "Will The Bride! get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?". Traders buy "Yes" tokens if they think the event will occur, or "No" tokens if they think it will not. Each token's price (in cents on the dollar) represents the market's consensus probability of that outcome.

What is the current probability?

The market currently prices "Yes" at 0.4¢, which implies a 0% probability. "No" trades at 99.7¢. The probability updates in real time as traders buy and sell.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on Feb 28, 2027. After resolution, the winning side's tokens redeem at $1 each (in USDC) and the losing side at $0.

How is the outcome decided?

Resolution follows Polymarket's standard process via UMA's optimistic oracle: a proposed outcome is submitted, and anyone may dispute it within a challenge window before settlement.

What does buying YES or NO actually mean?

"Yes" and "No" are outcome tokens on the Polygon blockchain. Each one pays out $1 in USDC if its outcome resolves true, otherwise $0. If you buy "Yes" at 0.4¢ and the outcome resolves "Yes", you receive $1 per token; if it resolves "No", your "Yes" tokens are worth nothing.

How much trading activity is there?

Over the last 24 hours, $0 has been traded on this market. Total volume since the market opened is $1.5K. Current order-book liquidity is $4.0K — the amount that can be filled at or near the mid-price without significant slippage.

Where is this market hosted?

On Polymarket, the largest prediction-market platform in the world. Polymarket runs on the Polygon blockchain and uses USDC as collateral.

Is Polymarket available everywhere?

No. Polymarket is geographically restricted. Trading is blocked in some jurisdictions, including the United States. Polymarket detects your location and prevents deposits and trades where the service is unavailable. Always verify access from your country before depositing funds.

Can I see the live order book and top holders?

Yes. Spreadiction surfaces the live CLOB order book, top holders by USD value, recent whale trades and derived analytics for every active Polymarket market. Use the navigation: Markets, Whales, Signals, Alpha, Scanner.

Is anything on this page investment advice?

No. Spreadiction is an analytics tool. Nothing on this page is investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Prediction markets carry substantial risk of loss. See the full disclaimer for details.

Trade this market

Trading happens on Polymarket. You will need a Polygon wallet with USDC. Polymarket is geographically restricted — verify access from your jurisdiction before depositing.

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