SpreaDiction

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?

A prediction market on Polymarket. Yes is trading at 4.5¢, implying a 5% probability. 24-hour volume is $231.9K. Resolves Jul 1, 2026.

4.5¢
5% probability
95.5¢
96% probability
24-hour volume
$231.9K
Total volume
$687.2K
Liquidity
$76.0K
Resolves
Jul 1, 2026
Hosted on
Polymarket
Resolution source
link

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of June 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe’s business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Frequently asked questions

What is this prediction market about?

This is a Polymarket prediction market asking: "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?". Traders buy "Yes" tokens if they think the event will occur, or "No" tokens if they think it will not. Each token's price (in cents on the dollar) represents the market's consensus probability of that outcome.

What is the current probability?

The market currently prices "Yes" at 4.5¢, which implies a 5% probability. "No" trades at 95.5¢. The probability updates in real time as traders buy and sell.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on Jul 1, 2026. After resolution, the winning side's tokens redeem at $1 each (in USDC) and the losing side at $0.

How is the outcome decided?

Resolution is determined by the source specified by the market (https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI). Polymarket uses UMA's optimistic oracle to finalize outcomes — a proposed result is submitted, and anyone may dispute it within a challenge window before settlement.

What does buying YES or NO actually mean?

"Yes" and "No" are outcome tokens on the Polygon blockchain. Each one pays out $1 in USDC if its outcome resolves true, otherwise $0. If you buy "Yes" at 4.5¢ and the outcome resolves "Yes", you receive $1 per token; if it resolves "No", your "Yes" tokens are worth nothing.

How much trading activity is there?

Over the last 24 hours, $231.9K has been traded on this market. Total volume since the market opened is $687.2K. Current order-book liquidity is $76.0K — the amount that can be filled at or near the mid-price without significant slippage.

Where is this market hosted?

On Polymarket, the largest prediction-market platform in the world. Polymarket runs on the Polygon blockchain and uses USDC as collateral.

Is Polymarket available everywhere?

No. Polymarket is geographically restricted. Trading is blocked in some jurisdictions, including the United States. Polymarket detects your location and prevents deposits and trades where the service is unavailable. Always verify access from your country before depositing funds.

Can I see the live order book and top holders?

Yes. SpreaDiction surfaces the live CLOB order book, top holders by USD value, recent whale trades and derived analytics for every active Polymarket market. Use the navigation: Markets, Whales, Signals, Alpha, Scanner.

Is anything on this page investment advice?

No. SpreaDiction is an analytics tool. Nothing on this page is investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Prediction markets carry substantial risk of loss. See the full disclaimer for details.

Trade this market

Trading happens on Polymarket. You will need a Polygon wallet with USDC. Polymarket is geographically restricted — verify access from your jurisdiction before depositing.

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