Spread: Indiana Fever (-1.5)
A prediction market on Polymarket. Indiana Fever is trading at 4.5¢, implying a 5% probability. 24-hour volume is $51.8K. Resolves Jul 16, 2026.
Simulate your payout
- 24-hour volume
- $51.8K
- Total volume
- $51.9K
- Liquidity
- $72.2K
- Resolves
- Jul 16, 2026
- Event
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever
- Hosted on
- Polymarket
- Resolution source
- link
About this market
In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 15 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Indiana Fever" if the Indiana Fever win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Golden State Valkyries". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Golden State Valkyries". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Frequently asked questions
What is this prediction market about?
This is a Polymarket prediction market asking: "Spread: Indiana Fever (-1.5)". Traders buy "Indiana Fever" tokens if they think the event will occur, or "Golden State Valkyries" tokens if they think it will not. Each token's price (in cents on the dollar) represents the market's consensus probability of that outcome.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices "Indiana Fever" at 4.5¢, which implies a 5% probability. "Golden State Valkyries" trades at 95.5¢. The probability updates in real time as traders buy and sell.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on Jul 16, 2026. After resolution, the winning side's tokens redeem at $1 each (in USDC) and the losing side at $0.
How is the outcome decided?
Resolution is determined by the source specified by the market (https://www.wnba.com/). Polymarket uses UMA's optimistic oracle to finalize outcomes — a proposed result is submitted, and anyone may dispute it within a challenge window before settlement.
What does buying YES or NO actually mean?
"Indiana Fever" and "Golden State Valkyries" are outcome tokens on the Polygon blockchain. Each one pays out $1 in USDC if its outcome resolves true, otherwise $0. If you buy "Indiana Fever" at 4.5¢ and the outcome resolves "Indiana Fever", you receive $1 per token; if it resolves "Golden State Valkyries", your "Indiana Fever" tokens are worth nothing.
How much trading activity is there?
Over the last 24 hours, $51.8K has been traded on this market. Total volume since the market opened is $51.9K. Current order-book liquidity is $72.2K — the amount that can be filled at or near the mid-price without significant slippage.
Where is this market hosted?
On Polymarket, the largest prediction-market platform in the world. Polymarket runs on the Polygon blockchain and uses USDC as collateral.
Is Polymarket available everywhere?
No. Polymarket is geographically restricted. Trading is blocked in some jurisdictions, including the United States. Polymarket detects your location and prevents deposits and trades where the service is unavailable. Always verify access from your country before depositing funds.
Can I see the live order book and top holders?
Yes. Spreadiction surfaces the live CLOB order book, top holders by USD value, recent whale trades and derived analytics for every active Polymarket market. Use the navigation: Markets, Whales, Signals, Alpha, Scanner.
Is anything on this page investment advice?
No. Spreadiction is an analytics tool. Nothing on this page is investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Prediction markets carry substantial risk of loss. See the full disclaimer for details.
Trade this market
Trading happens on Polymarket. You will need a Polygon wallet with USDC. Polymarket is geographically restricted — verify access from your jurisdiction before depositing.
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