World Cup Goals H2H: Neymar vs. Vinicius Jr.
A prediction market on Polymarket. Neymar is trading at 1.1¢, implying a 1% probability. 24-hour volume is $166. Resolves Jul 20, 2026.
- 24-hour volume
- $166
- Total volume
- $7.5K
- Liquidity
- $5.6K
- Resolves
- Jul 20, 2026
- Hosted on
- Polymarket
- Resolution source
- Polymarket / UMA oracle
About this market
This market will resolve to “Neymar” if Neymar da Silva Santos Júnior scores more goals than Vinícius José Paixão de Oliveira Júnior through all rounds of the main tournament at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Vinicius”. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more assists during all rounds of the main tournament at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50. If a player withdraws, or does not play for any reason, this market will resolve in favor of the opposing player. If both players do not play for any reason, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined which player scored more goals within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be the official results published by FIFA.
Frequently asked questions
What is this prediction market about?
This is a Polymarket prediction market asking: "World Cup Goals H2H: Neymar vs. Vinicius Jr. ". Traders buy "Neymar" tokens if they think the event will occur, or "Vinicius" tokens if they think it will not. Each token's price (in cents on the dollar) represents the market's consensus probability of that outcome.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices "Neymar" at 1.1¢, which implies a 1% probability. "Vinicius" trades at 98.9¢. The probability updates in real time as traders buy and sell.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on Jul 20, 2026. After resolution, the winning side's tokens redeem at $1 each (in USDC) and the losing side at $0.
How is the outcome decided?
Resolution follows Polymarket's standard process via UMA's optimistic oracle: a proposed outcome is submitted, and anyone may dispute it within a challenge window before settlement.
What does buying YES or NO actually mean?
"Neymar" and "Vinicius" are outcome tokens on the Polygon blockchain. Each one pays out $1 in USDC if its outcome resolves true, otherwise $0. If you buy "Neymar" at 1.1¢ and the outcome resolves "Neymar", you receive $1 per token; if it resolves "Vinicius", your "Neymar" tokens are worth nothing.
How much trading activity is there?
Over the last 24 hours, $166 has been traded on this market. Total volume since the market opened is $7.5K. Current order-book liquidity is $5.6K — the amount that can be filled at or near the mid-price without significant slippage.
Where is this market hosted?
On Polymarket, the largest prediction-market platform in the world. Polymarket runs on the Polygon blockchain and uses USDC as collateral.
Is Polymarket available everywhere?
No. Polymarket is geographically restricted. Trading is blocked in some jurisdictions, including the United States. Polymarket detects your location and prevents deposits and trades where the service is unavailable. Always verify access from your country before depositing funds.
Can I see the live order book and top holders?
Yes. Spreadiction surfaces the live CLOB order book, top holders by USD value, recent whale trades and derived analytics for every active Polymarket market. Use the navigation: Markets, Whales, Signals, Alpha, Scanner.
Is anything on this page investment advice?
No. Spreadiction is an analytics tool. Nothing on this page is investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Prediction markets carry substantial risk of loss. See the full disclaimer for details.
Trade this market
Trading happens on Polymarket. You will need a Polygon wallet with USDC. Polymarket is geographically restricted — verify access from your jurisdiction before depositing.
Open on Polymarket →