Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenko
A prediction market on Polymarket. Aryna Sabalenka is trading at 96.4¢, implying a 96% probability. 24-hour volume is $922.0K. Resolves Jul 10, 2026.
Simulate your payout
- 24-hour volume
- $922.0K
- Total volume
- $927.1K
- Liquidity
- $168.4K
- Resolves
- Jul 10, 2026
- Event
- Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenko
- Hosted on
- Polymarket
- Resolution source
- link
About this market
This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Jelena Ostapenko in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Jelena Ostapenko. This market will resolve to 'Jelena Ostapenko' if Jelena Ostapenko advances against Aryna Sabalenka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
What is this prediction market about?
This is a Polymarket prediction market asking: "Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenko". Traders buy "Aryna Sabalenka" tokens if they think the event will occur, or "Jelena Ostapenko" tokens if they think it will not. Each token's price (in cents on the dollar) represents the market's consensus probability of that outcome.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices "Aryna Sabalenka" at 96.4¢, which implies a 96% probability. "Jelena Ostapenko" trades at 3.6¢. The probability updates in real time as traders buy and sell.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on Jul 10, 2026. After resolution, the winning side's tokens redeem at $1 each (in USDC) and the losing side at $0.
How is the outcome decided?
Resolution is determined by the source specified by the market (https://www.wtatennis.com/scores). Polymarket uses UMA's optimistic oracle to finalize outcomes — a proposed result is submitted, and anyone may dispute it within a challenge window before settlement.
What does buying YES or NO actually mean?
"Aryna Sabalenka" and "Jelena Ostapenko" are outcome tokens on the Polygon blockchain. Each one pays out $1 in USDC if its outcome resolves true, otherwise $0. If you buy "Aryna Sabalenka" at 96.4¢ and the outcome resolves "Aryna Sabalenka", you receive $1 per token; if it resolves "Jelena Ostapenko", your "Aryna Sabalenka" tokens are worth nothing.
How much trading activity is there?
Over the last 24 hours, $922.0K has been traded on this market. Total volume since the market opened is $927.1K. Current order-book liquidity is $168.4K — the amount that can be filled at or near the mid-price without significant slippage.
Where is this market hosted?
On Polymarket, the largest prediction-market platform in the world. Polymarket runs on the Polygon blockchain and uses USDC as collateral.
Is Polymarket available everywhere?
No. Polymarket is geographically restricted. Trading is blocked in some jurisdictions, including the United States. Polymarket detects your location and prevents deposits and trades where the service is unavailable. Always verify access from your country before depositing funds.
Can I see the live order book and top holders?
Yes. Spreadiction surfaces the live CLOB order book, top holders by USD value, recent whale trades and derived analytics for every active Polymarket market. Use the navigation: Markets, Whales, Signals, Alpha, Scanner.
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No. Spreadiction is an analytics tool. Nothing on this page is investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Prediction markets carry substantial risk of loss. See the full disclaimer for details.
Trade this market
Trading happens on Polymarket. You will need a Polygon wallet with USDC. Polymarket is geographically restricted — verify access from your jurisdiction before depositing.
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