Spreadiction

Arbguy

Polymarket trader 0x53e5…6177 — 34 open positions worth $181.3K, open P&L -$177.8K.

34
$181.3K
-$177.8K
3

Open positions

MarketOutcomeValueP&L
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes$33.1K+$5.4K
+19.3%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No$27.3K-$350
-1.3%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No$26.1K+$525
+2.1%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$14.7K+$2.8K
+23.4%
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$12.1K+$1.4K
+12.9%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No$10.7K-$67
-0.6%
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes$10.6K-$5.4K
-33.9%
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?Yes$9.3K+$1.8K
+23.5%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No$7.4K+$990
+15.5%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No$6.8K+$801
+13.2%
Will France win on 2026-06-26?No$4.6K-$825
-15.3%
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes$2.9K-$14.1K
-82.8%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$2.9K+$250
+9.6%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes$2.5K-$63.1K
-96.2%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$2.2K+$155
+7.6%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes$1.9K+$81
+4.5%
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes$1.1K-$8.4K
-88.3%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No$1.0K+$68
+7.2%
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?Yes$795-$442
-35.8%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes$699-$380
-35.2%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes$678+$4
+0.6%
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes$669-$50.7K
-98.7%
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes$531-$17.4K
-97.0%
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes$210-$8.5K
-97.6%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes$194-$27
-12.1%

Recent trades

MarketSideOutcomeSizeWhen
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?SELLNo$4.3KJun 26, 2026
Will France win on 2026-06-26?BUYNo$5.4KJun 26, 2026
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?BUYYes$399Jun 25, 2026
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUYYes$105Jun 24, 2026
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUYYes$256Jun 24, 2026
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUYYes$1.7KJun 24, 2026
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?BUYYes$882Jun 23, 2026
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?BUYYes$285Jun 23, 2026
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?BUYYes$775Jun 23, 2026
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?BUYYes$117Jun 23, 2026
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUYNo$25.6KJun 23, 2026
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?BUYNo$27.6KJun 23, 2026
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?BUYYes$289Jun 23, 2026
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?BUYYes$1.1KJun 23, 2026
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?BUYYes$1.9KJun 19, 2026
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUYYes$2.6KJun 19, 2026
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?BUYYes$3.3KJun 18, 2026
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?BUYYes$3.7KJun 18, 2026
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?BUYYes$15.1KJun 17, 2026
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?BUYNo$4.3KJun 17, 2026

Frequently asked questions

Who is the Polymarket trader Arbguy?

Arbguy (0x53e5…6177) is a Polymarket trader (wallet 0x53e55bc7cb3d67ad177c023ce891ad076a9d6177). This page tracks their on-chain activity: 34 open positions currently worth $181.3K, plus their most recent large trades. All figures come from Polymarket's public data API and update automatically.

What does open P&L mean here?

Open P&L is the unrealised profit or loss on the trader's currently open positions — the difference between what they paid and the current market value. It excludes positions they have already closed or redeemed. This trader's open P&L is -$177.8K.

How often is this profile updated?

Spreadiction reads this trader's positions and trades live from Polymarket's public API and caches them briefly, so the page reflects on-chain activity within a couple of minutes. Reload to refresh.

Is this trading advice?

No. Copying another trader carries substantial risk and past performance does not predict future results. Nothing here is investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Spreadiction is an independent analytics tool and is not affiliated with Polymarket.

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