Spreadiction

Montaigne

Polymarket trader 0x5835…9404 — 37 open positions worth $984.5K, open P&L -$38.3K, $13.21M traded volume. Largest position: Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ($788.1K).

$984.5K
-$38.3K

Open positions

MarketOutcomeValueP&L
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No$788.1K+$295.9K
+60.1%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$196.4K-$295.9K
-60.1%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No$0-$225
-100.0%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?No$0-$17
-100.0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes$0-$13
-100.0%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Yes$0-$1.5K
-100.0%
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No$0-$24
-100.0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No$0-$32
-100.0%
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?No$0-$81
-100.0%
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes$0-$726
-100.0%
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Yes$0-$233
-100.0%
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No$0-$57
-100.0%
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Yes$0-$7
-100.0%
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?No$0-$67
-100.0%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?Yes$0-$13
-100.0%
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?No$0-$24
-100.0%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No$0-$147
-100.0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No$0-$114
-100.0%
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No$0-$61
-100.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No$0-$458
-100.0%
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?Yes$0-$3.7K
-100.0%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?Yes$0-$8.5K
-100.0%
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes$0-$148
-100.0%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No$0-$61
-100.0%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Yes$0-$8.2K
-100.0%

Recent trades

MarketSideOutcomeSizeWhen
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) AND Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 2.5 AND Mexico to score first vs. Ecuador?BUY$1Jun 30, 2026
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?BUYYes$3Jun 22, 2026
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?BUYYes$2Jun 22, 2026
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?SELLYes$1Jun 22, 2026
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?BUYYes$1Jun 22, 2026
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?SELLYes$5Jun 22, 2026
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?BUYYes$5Jun 22, 2026
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?SELLNo$19Jun 22, 2026
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELLNo$9Jun 22, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?SELLNo$20Jun 22, 2026
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?SELLNo$19Jun 22, 2026
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELLNo$12Jun 22, 2026
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? SELLNo$20Jun 22, 2026
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?SELLNo$28Jun 22, 2026
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELLNo$17Jun 22, 2026
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELLNo$19Jun 22, 2026
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?SELLNo$35Jun 22, 2026
US strike on Cuba by December 31?SELLNo$22Jun 22, 2026
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?SELLNo$33Jun 22, 2026
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELLNo$40Jun 22, 2026

Most-active markets

MarketTradesVolume
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?1$59
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?1$58
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?1$52
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?1$44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?1$41

Frequently asked questions

Who is the Polymarket trader Montaigne?

Montaigne (0x5835…9404) is a Polymarket trader (wallet 0x583582716cc49794789cacdf7aeffbdbd0b79404). This page tracks their on-chain activity: 37 open positions currently worth $984.5K, plus their most recent large trades. All figures come from Polymarket's public data API and update automatically.

What does open P&L mean here?

Open P&L is the unrealised profit or loss on the trader's currently open positions — the difference between what they paid and the current market value. It excludes positions they have already closed or redeemed. This trader's open P&L is -$38.3K.

How often is this profile updated?

Spreadiction reads this trader's positions and trades live from Polymarket's public API and caches them briefly, so the page reflects on-chain activity within a couple of minutes. Reload to refresh.

Is this trading advice?

No. Copying another trader carries substantial risk and past performance does not predict future results. Nothing here is investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Spreadiction is an independent analytics tool and is not affiliated with Polymarket.

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