Spreadiction

QuietRiskisWrong

Polymarket trader 0x88c4…129a — 40 open positions worth $766.7K, open P&L -$199.7K, +$42.9K over the last 7 days, $15.0K traded volume. Largest position: Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? ($661.2K).

$766.7K
-$199.7K
+$42.9K

Open positions

MarketOutcomeValueP&L
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No$661.2K+$11.7K
+1.8%
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No$26.9K-$2.2K
-7.5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?No$25.6K-$3.5K
-12.0%
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No$24.3K+$2.7K
+12.5%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No$6.4K-$118
-1.8%
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?No$5.9K+$2
+0.0%
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Yes$4.0K+$241
+6.4%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$3.0K+$290
+10.8%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?Yes$2.8K+$143
+5.3%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?No$1.5K-$5
-0.3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?No$1.0K-$19
-1.8%
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No$993-$335
-25.2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?No$796-$1.5K
-65.1%
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 21?No$534+$34
+6.8%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No$504-$21
-4.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No$317-$12
-3.6%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?Yes$273+$5
+1.8%
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No$207-$1
-0.5%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Yes$174-$4
-2.4%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes$169+$9
+5.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?No$0-$44.3K
-100.0%
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-02?Yes$0-$400
-100.0%
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes$0-$10
-100.0%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No$0-$26.8K
-100.0%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?Yes$0-$8.2K
-100.0%

Recent trades

MarketSideOutcomeSizeWhen
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUYYes$160Jul 20, 2026
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?BUYYes$674Jul 20, 2026
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?BUYYes$178Jul 20, 2026
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?BUYNo$240Jul 20, 2026
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?SELLNo$1.3KJul 20, 2026
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?BUYNo$631Jul 20, 2026
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 14?SELLNo$630Jul 20, 2026
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?BUYNo$2.3KJul 20, 2026
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?BUYNo$2.8KJul 20, 2026
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUYNo$389Jul 20, 2026
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?BUYYes$268Jul 20, 2026
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?BUYYes$729Jul 20, 2026
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?BUYNo$910Jul 20, 2026
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUYNo$52Jul 20, 2026
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUYYes$165Jul 20, 2026
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 21?BUYNo$55Jul 20, 2026
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUYNo$329Jul 20, 2026
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?BUYNo$525Jul 20, 2026
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?BUYYes$1.3KJul 20, 2026
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?BUYNo$204Jul 17, 2026

Most-active markets

MarketTradesVolume
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?5$14.8K
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?4$5.9K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?3$2.7K
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?2$2.3K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of July 13 2026?1$1.2K

Frequently asked questions

Who is the Polymarket trader QuietRiskisWrong?

QuietRiskisWrong (0x88c4…129a) is a Polymarket trader (wallet 0x88c4919de76e526d55a32c1f8afb439dd1f1129a). This page tracks their on-chain activity: 40 open positions currently worth $766.7K, plus their most recent large trades. All figures come from Polymarket's public data API and update automatically.

What does open P&L mean here?

Open P&L is the unrealised profit or loss on the trader's currently open positions — the difference between what they paid and the current market value. It excludes positions they have already closed or redeemed. This trader's open P&L is -$199.7K.

How often is this profile updated?

Spreadiction reads this trader's positions and trades live from Polymarket's public API and caches them briefly, so the page reflects on-chain activity within a couple of minutes. Reload to refresh.

Is this trading advice?

No. Copying another trader carries substantial risk and past performance does not predict future results. Nothing here is investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Spreadiction is an independent analytics tool and is not affiliated with Polymarket.

Go deeper

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