Spreadiction

trashpilot

Polymarket trader 0x9592…a7b8 — 100 open positions worth $72.4K, open P&L -$27.2K, +$27.7K over the last 7 days, $203.4K traded volume. Largest position: Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? ($27.1K).

$72.4K
-$27.2K
+$27.7K

Open positions

MarketOutcomeValueP&L
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes$27.1K+$6.2K
+29.7%
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes$11.4K+$3.8K
+50.2%
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes$5.7K+$591
+11.5%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes$5.4K+$1.6K
+42.7%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No$5.1K+$3.1K
+148.0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes$3.9K+$1.0K
+35.4%
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes$3.8K-$2.7K
-41.0%
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes$1.4K+$864
+176.4%
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes$1.3K+$438
+50.4%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes$1.2K+$387
+47.6%
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes$1.1K+$477
+77.2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes$1.0K+$518
+103.5%
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes$855+$62
+7.8%
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes$536-$175
-24.6%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?No$339+$216
+175.4%
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?Yes$308+$51
+19.8%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?No$302+$67
+28.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Yes$255+$138
+117.6%
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes$230-$64
-21.8%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?Yes$196-$88
-30.9%
US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes$168-$32
-15.8%
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Yes$159+$35
+28.4%
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?Yes$139-$31
-18.0%
Iran leadership change by July 31?Yes$121+$60
+97.9%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes$93-$75
-44.8%

Recent trades

MarketSideOutcomeSizeWhen
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?SELLYes$2.0KJul 13, 2026
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?BUYYes$2.4KJul 13, 2026
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?BUYYes$6.0KJul 13, 2026
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?BUYYes$3.4KJul 13, 2026
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?BUYYes$2.7KJul 13, 2026
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?BUYNo$1.0KJul 13, 2026
Will Trump post "Iran" on Truth Social this week?BUYYes$278Jul 13, 2026
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?BUYNo$166Jul 13, 2026
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?SELLYes$107Jul 13, 2026
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUYYes$29Jul 12, 2026
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?SELLYes$4Jul 12, 2026
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?SELLYes$46Jul 12, 2026
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?SELLYes$3Jul 12, 2026
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?BUYYes$2Jul 12, 2026
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?BUYYes$5Jul 12, 2026
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?BUYYes$660Jul 12, 2026
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?SELLYes$11Jul 12, 2026
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?SELLYes$125Jul 12, 2026
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?SELLYes$101Jul 12, 2026
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?SELLYes$129Jul 12, 2026

Most-active markets

MarketTradesVolume
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?2$9.5K
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?2$4.7K
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?1$2.4K
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?15$1.6K
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?1$1.0K

Frequently asked questions

Who is the Polymarket trader trashpilot?

trashpilot (0x9592…a7b8) is a Polymarket trader (wallet 0x9592adb70397e9de67ba9abe6971e3f50fb7a7b8). This page tracks their on-chain activity: 100 open positions currently worth $72.4K, plus their most recent large trades. All figures come from Polymarket's public data API and update automatically.

What does open P&L mean here?

Open P&L is the unrealised profit or loss on the trader's currently open positions — the difference between what they paid and the current market value. It excludes positions they have already closed or redeemed. This trader's open P&L is -$27.2K.

How often is this profile updated?

Spreadiction reads this trader's positions and trades live from Polymarket's public API and caches them briefly, so the page reflects on-chain activity within a couple of minutes. Reload to refresh.

Is this trading advice?

No. Copying another trader carries substantial risk and past performance does not predict future results. Nothing here is investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Spreadiction is an independent analytics tool and is not affiliated with Polymarket.

Go deeper

Explore this wallet interactively on Spreadiction — realized vs unrealized P&L, win rate, exposure and filterable trade history — or view the original profile on Polymarket.

Open live wallet analytics → View on Polymarket →

More on Spreadiction: Whale Watch · Smart-Money Edge · Strategy Bots · all markets