Spreadiction

risk-manager

Polymarket trader 0xa61e…0abd — 60 open positions worth $165.2K, open P&L -$13.3K, $1.06M traded volume. Largest position: Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ($30.8K).

$165.2K
-$13.3K

Open positions

MarketOutcomeValueP&L
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No$30.8K+$2.6K
+9.1%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$21.7K-$12.8K
-37.1%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$17.3K+$1.0K
+6.2%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes$14.7K-$3.1K
-17.5%
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No$13.1K+$560
+4.5%
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No$10.3K-$102
-1.0%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No$9.4K+$151
+1.6%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No$8.7K+$350
+4.2%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Yes$5.5K-$165
-2.9%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No$5.0K-$117
-2.3%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No$4.7K+$258
+5.8%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes$4.4K+$2.4K
+123.2%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No$3.9K+$563
+16.7%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes$3.0K+$1.0K
+50.0%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No$1.5K-$17
-1.1%
Trump out as President before 2027?Yes$1.4K-$1.4K
-49.2%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No$1.4K+$87
+6.6%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes$1.3K-$115
-8.2%
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?No$1.0K-$304
-22.9%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$996-$1.4K
-58.3%
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$686-$490
-41.7%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes$555-$275
-33.1%
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes$400-$819
-67.2%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No$380+$50
+15.2%
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic$374+$72
+23.9%

Recent trades

MarketSideOutcomeSizeWhen
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELLYes$25Jul 27, 2026
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELLNo$447Jul 19, 2026
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?SELLYes$4.0KJul 19, 2026
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?SELLYes$2.7KJul 19, 2026
Will France vs. England end in a draw?SELLYes$1.6KJul 18, 2026
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUYYes$44Jul 17, 2026
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELLYes$5Jul 17, 2026
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELLYes$276Jul 14, 2026
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELLYes$90Jul 14, 2026
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELLYes$136Jul 12, 2026
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?SELLYes$3.3KJul 11, 2026
Will England win on 2026-07-11?SELLNo$5Jul 11, 2026
Will England win on 2026-07-11?SELLNo$7.0KJul 11, 2026
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELLYes$100Jul 11, 2026
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?SELLNo$11.3KJul 9, 2026
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?SELLYes$0Jul 7, 2026
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?SELLYes$5.7KJul 7, 2026
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?BUYNo$13Jul 7, 2026
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?SELLYes$0Jul 7, 2026
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?SELLYes$1.7KJul 7, 2026

Most-active markets

MarketTradesVolume
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?1$11.3K
Will England win on 2026-07-11?2$7.0K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?2$6.7K
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?1$5.7K
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?1$3.3K

Frequently asked questions

Who is the Polymarket trader risk-manager?

risk-manager (0xa61e…0abd) is a Polymarket trader (wallet 0xa61ef8773ec2e821962306ca87d4b57e39ff0abd). This page tracks their on-chain activity: 60 open positions currently worth $165.2K, plus their most recent large trades. All figures come from Polymarket's public data API and update automatically.

What does open P&L mean here?

Open P&L is the unrealised profit or loss on the trader's currently open positions — the difference between what they paid and the current market value. It excludes positions they have already closed or redeemed. This trader's open P&L is -$13.3K.

How often is this profile updated?

Spreadiction reads this trader's positions and trades live from Polymarket's public API and caches them briefly, so the page reflects on-chain activity within a couple of minutes. Reload to refresh.

Is this trading advice?

No. Copying another trader carries substantial risk and past performance does not predict future results. Nothing here is investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Spreadiction is an independent analytics tool and is not affiliated with Polymarket.

Go deeper

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