Spreadiction

0xbF4d202382

Polymarket trader 0xbf4d…33ed — 47 open positions worth $47.1K, open P&L -$854, $1.62M traded volume. Largest position: US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? ($13.1K).

$47.1K
-$854

Open positions

MarketOutcomeValueP&L
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?No$13.1K+$1.5K
+12.8%
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?No$7.4K+$908
+13.9%
Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?No$6.4K+$465
+7.9%
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?No$4.0K+$436
+12.2%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes$3.9K-$35
-0.9%
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No$1.9K+$172
+9.9%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes$1.8K-$27
-1.5%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes$1.5K-$80
-4.9%
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes$1.3K-$620
-33.0%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No$764+$20
+2.7%
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?No$737-$3.2K
-81.4%
Will USD be at least 1.9M Iranian rials on July 31?Yes$717-$217
-23.3%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?Yes$712+$99
+16.1%
Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on July 31?Yes$577+$57
+10.9%
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?No$372+$88
+31.0%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No$317-$71
-18.2%
US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?No$247+$28
+12.7%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No$237+$25
+11.8%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?Yes$200+$8
+3.9%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes$143-$4
-2.7%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No$140-$17
-10.6%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes$123-$140
-53.2%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No$118-$71
-37.5%
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No$94+$4
+3.9%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes$72+$5
+8.1%

Recent trades

MarketSideOutcomeSizeWhen
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?BUYNo$116Jul 28, 2026
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?BUYNo$400Jul 28, 2026
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?BUYNo$4Jul 28, 2026
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?SELLNo$154Jul 28, 2026
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?SELLNo$115Jul 28, 2026
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?SELLNo$107Jul 28, 2026
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?SELLNo$58Jul 28, 2026
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?BUYNo$11Jul 27, 2026
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?BUYNo$0Jul 27, 2026
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?BUYNo$32Jul 27, 2026
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?BUYNo$0Jul 27, 2026
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?BUYNo$27Jul 27, 2026
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?BUYNo$137Jul 27, 2026
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?SELLNo$10Jul 27, 2026
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?SELLNo$0Jul 27, 2026
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?BUYNo$7Jul 27, 2026
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?BUYNo$68Jul 27, 2026
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?BUYNo$167Jul 27, 2026
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?BUYNo$40Jul 27, 2026
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?BUYNo$1Jul 27, 2026

Most-active markets

MarketTradesVolume
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?30$1.6K

Frequently asked questions

Who is the Polymarket trader 0xbF4d202382?

0xbF4d202382 (0xbf4d…33ed) is a Polymarket trader (wallet 0xbf4d202382ba5702721a8c43126f5f08163733ed). This page tracks their on-chain activity: 47 open positions currently worth $47.1K, plus their most recent large trades. All figures come from Polymarket's public data API and update automatically.

What does open P&L mean here?

Open P&L is the unrealised profit or loss on the trader's currently open positions — the difference between what they paid and the current market value. It excludes positions they have already closed or redeemed. This trader's open P&L is -$854.

How often is this profile updated?

Spreadiction reads this trader's positions and trades live from Polymarket's public API and caches them briefly, so the page reflects on-chain activity within a couple of minutes. Reload to refresh.

Is this trading advice?

No. Copying another trader carries substantial risk and past performance does not predict future results. Nothing here is investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Spreadiction is an independent analytics tool and is not affiliated with Polymarket.

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