Spreadiction

makinta

Polymarket trader 0xc15b…38af — 39 open positions worth $605.5K, open P&L -$161.6K. Largest position: Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 me… ($149.5K).

$605.5K
-$161.6K

Open positions

MarketOutcomeValueP&L
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No$149.5K+$825
+0.6%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No$129.3K+$799
+0.6%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No$58.1K-$6.1K
-9.5%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No$40.7K+$416
+1.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?Yes$40.3K+$6.5K
+19.4%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?No$30.0K+$197
+0.7%
Iran leadership change by July 31?No$25.9K+$54
+0.2%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No$22.9K-$130
-0.6%
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?No$14.5K+$690
+5.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?Yes$12.9K+$343
+2.7%
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No$10.4K+$2.6K
+32.5%
Iran full airspace closure by July 21?No$9.7K+$1.7K
+20.7%
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?No$9.1K+$650
+7.6%
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?No$8.6K+$50
+0.6%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?Yes$7.7K+$1.2K
+18.1%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No$5.7K-$88
-1.5%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No$5.6K-$531
-8.6%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?No$5.3K+$93
+1.8%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No$4.8K-$440
-8.3%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes$4.8K+$230
+5.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No$3.4K-$374
-9.8%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No$3.2K+$86
+2.8%
Iran leadership change by July 31?Yes$1.6K-$520
-24.1%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No$570+$7
+1.3%
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No$485-$165
-25.3%

Recent trades

MarketSideOutcomeSizeWhen
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELLNo$8.8KJul 19, 2026
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUYNo$580Jul 18, 2026
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUYNo$4.5KJul 18, 2026
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUYYes$1.3KJul 18, 2026
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUYYes$3.3KJul 18, 2026
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?BUYNo$8.0KJul 18, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUYNo$79.2KJul 17, 2026
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUYNo$23Jul 14, 2026
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUYNo$2.2KJul 13, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUYNo$48.4KJul 13, 2026
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUYNo$57.1KJul 8, 2026
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5BUYUnder$21.6KJul 7, 2026
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5BUYUnder$10.3KJul 7, 2026
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUYNo$49.5KJul 7, 2026
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUYNo$131.0KJul 7, 2026
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5BUYOver$7.2KJul 6, 2026
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander BublikBUYTaylor Fritz$16.1KJul 6, 2026
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander BublikBUYTaylor Fritz$16.8KJul 6, 2026
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?SELLYes$10.2KJul 6, 2026
Wimbledon WTA: Madison Keys vs Linda NoskovaBUYMadison Keys$20.6KJul 6, 2026

Most-active markets

MarketTradesVolume
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?1$131.0K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?2$127.7K
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?2$106.6K
Wimbledon WTA: Madison Keys vs Linda Noskova4$37.1K
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublik2$32.9K

Frequently asked questions

Who is the Polymarket trader makinta?

makinta (0xc15b…38af) is a Polymarket trader (wallet 0xc15b833b6991e5dbcaca029f7d0f951e5db238af). This page tracks their on-chain activity: 39 open positions currently worth $605.5K, plus their most recent large trades. All figures come from Polymarket's public data API and update automatically.

What does open P&L mean here?

Open P&L is the unrealised profit or loss on the trader's currently open positions — the difference between what they paid and the current market value. It excludes positions they have already closed or redeemed. This trader's open P&L is -$161.6K.

How often is this profile updated?

Spreadiction reads this trader's positions and trades live from Polymarket's public API and caches them briefly, so the page reflects on-chain activity within a couple of minutes. Reload to refresh.

Is this trading advice?

No. Copying another trader carries substantial risk and past performance does not predict future results. Nothing here is investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Spreadiction is an independent analytics tool and is not affiliated with Polymarket.

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