Spreadiction

mustbethewater

Polymarket trader 0xc518…2594 — 100 open positions worth $4.4K, open P&L +$2.8K, +$12.3K over the last 7 days, $63.6K traded volume. Largest position: Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? ($151).

$4.4K
+$2.8K
+$12.3K

Open positions

MarketOutcomeValueP&L
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes$151+$129
+581.0%
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?Yes$144+$137
+1839.0%
Will Rufus Sewell – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series?No$138+$19
+16.2%
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes$134+$127
+2051.7%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes$122+$120
+4585.6%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes$106+$101
+1880.0%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes$90+$84
+1551.0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 27?Yes$87+$79
+999.5%
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Yes$84+$60
+252.0%
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes$75+$72
+2690.1%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No$73+$23
+45.7%
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes$64+$46
+245.8%
Will Roberto Mancini be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?Yes$63+$58
+1343.0%
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No$62+$1
+1.4%
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes$62+$55
+755.0%
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No$61+$1
+1.1%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?Yes$56+$45
+387.5%
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?Yes$53+$39
+275.2%
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?No$50-$0
-0.1%
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?No$50-$0
-0.0%
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?No$50-$0
-0.0%
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?Yes$50+$42
+499.7%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 27?Yes$50+$45
+999.4%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No$50-$0
-0.1%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No$50-$0
-0.0%

Recent trades

MarketSideOutcomeSizeWhen
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 200m?BUYNo$50Jul 27, 2026
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?BUYNo$194Jul 27, 2026
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 220m?BUYNo$50Jul 27, 2026
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?BUYNo$43Jul 27, 2026
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?BUYNo$10Jul 27, 2026
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUYNo$50Jul 27, 2026
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUYNo$50Jul 27, 2026
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUYNo$50Jul 27, 2026
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUYNo$50Jul 27, 2026
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUYNo$50Jul 27, 2026
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUYNo$50Jul 27, 2026
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUYNo$37Jul 27, 2026
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUYNo$50Jul 27, 2026
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUYNo$50Jul 27, 2026
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUYNo$50Jul 27, 2026
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 29?BUYNo$28Jul 27, 2026
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 29?BUYNo$50Jul 27, 2026
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 29?BUYNo$47Jul 27, 2026
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 29?BUYNo$50Jul 27, 2026
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 29?BUYNo$50Jul 27, 2026

Most-active markets

MarketTradesVolume
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?1$194
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?3$150
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?3$150
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?3$149
Will Microsoft have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?1$50

Frequently asked questions

Who is the Polymarket trader mustbethewater?

mustbethewater (0xc518…2594) is a Polymarket trader (wallet 0xc5187cb669690150643ba2f9aac6b7d98d212594). This page tracks their on-chain activity: 100 open positions currently worth $4.4K, plus their most recent large trades. All figures come from Polymarket's public data API and update automatically.

What does open P&L mean here?

Open P&L is the unrealised profit or loss on the trader's currently open positions — the difference between what they paid and the current market value. It excludes positions they have already closed or redeemed. This trader's open P&L is +$2.8K.

How often is this profile updated?

Spreadiction reads this trader's positions and trades live from Polymarket's public API and caches them briefly, so the page reflects on-chain activity within a couple of minutes. Reload to refresh.

Is this trading advice?

No. Copying another trader carries substantial risk and past performance does not predict future results. Nothing here is investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Spreadiction is an independent analytics tool and is not affiliated with Polymarket.

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