Spreadiction

Erasmus.

Polymarket trader 0xc658…b784 — 57 open positions worth $653.5K, open P&L -$787.7K.

57
$653.5K
-$787.7K
45

Open positions

MarketOutcomeValueP&L
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No$258.1K+$46.5K
+22.0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No$163.9K+$22.9K
+16.2%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes$96.6K+$10.4K
+12.1%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No$71.1K+$4.1K
+6.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes$26.9K-$149.9K
-84.8%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No$22.4K-$64
-0.3%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes$8.6K+$717
+9.1%
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?No$2.5K+$591
+30.5%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes$2.2K-$279
-11.3%
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No$1.1K+$41
+3.9%
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes$75-$30
-28.9%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes$2+$0
+23.3%
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?No$0-$4.2K
-100.0%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Yes$0-$656
-100.0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes$0-$167
-100.0%
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Yes$0-$516
-100.0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Yes$0-$121
-100.0%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Yes$0-$928
-100.0%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes$0-$3.6K
-100.0%
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes$0-$4.6K
-100.0%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes$0-$20.0K
-100.0%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes$0-$656
-100.0%
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes$0-$196
-100.0%
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes$0-$626
-100.0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes$0-$37.7K
-100.0%

Recent trades

MarketSideOutcomeSizeWhen
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?BUYYes$4.7KJun 22, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?BUYYes$4.7KJun 22, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUYYes$59.7KJun 22, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUYYes$300Jun 22, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?BUYYes$3.2KJun 22, 2026
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELLNo$45.2KJun 17, 2026
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELLYes$349.3KJun 17, 2026
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUYYes$7.2KJun 14, 2026
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUYYes$7.2KJun 14, 2026
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUYYes$4.0KJun 14, 2026
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUYYes$5.7KJun 14, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELLYes$25.3KJun 14, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUYYes$2.2KJun 14, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUYYes$2.4KJun 14, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUYYes$4.2KJun 14, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUYYes$5.4KJun 14, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUYYes$2.3KJun 14, 2026
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUYYes$11.6KJun 14, 2026
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUYYes$8.9KJun 14, 2026
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUYYes$7.9KJun 14, 2026

Frequently asked questions

Who is the Polymarket trader Erasmus.?

Erasmus. (0xc658…b784) is a Polymarket trader (wallet 0xc6587b11a2209e46dfe3928b31c5514a8e33b784). This page tracks their on-chain activity: 57 open positions currently worth $653.5K, plus their most recent large trades. All figures come from Polymarket's public data API and update automatically.

What does open P&L mean here?

Open P&L is the unrealised profit or loss on the trader's currently open positions — the difference between what they paid and the current market value. It excludes positions they have already closed or redeemed. This trader's open P&L is -$787.7K.

How often is this profile updated?

Spreadiction reads this trader's positions and trades live from Polymarket's public API and caches them briefly, so the page reflects on-chain activity within a couple of minutes. Reload to refresh.

Is this trading advice?

No. Copying another trader carries substantial risk and past performance does not predict future results. Nothing here is investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Spreadiction is an independent analytics tool and is not affiliated with Polymarket.

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