Spreadiction

elmcap2

Polymarket trader 0xed10…d2e5 — 73 open positions worth $6.82M, open P&L +$36.2K, $6.03M traded volume. Largest position: Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? ($5.50M).

$6.82M
+$36.2K

Open positions

MarketOutcomeValueP&L
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes$5.50M+$2.8K
+0.1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No$292.7K+$439
+0.2%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No$181.8K+$13.8K
+8.2%
Trump out as President before 2027?No$117.6K+$2.2K
+1.9%
Trump out as President by July 31?No$86.5K+$750
+0.9%
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No$84.2K+$4.8K
+6.0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No$61.8K+$1.4K
+2.3%
New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31? No$57.2K+$477
+0.8%
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?No$56.1K+$572
+1.0%
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No$49.3K+$344
+0.7%
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No$35.0K+$1.6K
+4.7%
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?No$33.3K+$195
+0.6%
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes$29.2K+$1.2K
+4.3%
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No$25.1K+$2.0K
+8.6%
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?No$23.4K+$375
+1.6%
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?No$20.2K+$259
+1.3%
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?No$13.9K+$162
+1.2%
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?No$12.6K+$506
+4.2%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No$10.0K-$187
-1.8%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No$9.7K+$81
+0.8%
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No$9.5K+$5
+0.1%
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?No$9.4K+$498
+5.6%
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes$9.3K+$13
+0.1%
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?No$8.2K-$9
-0.1%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?No$7.1K-$173
-2.4%

Recent trades

MarketSideOutcomeSizeWhen
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?SELLNo$2.5KJul 7, 2026
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUYYes$2.93MJul 7, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?BUYNo$283.8KJul 7, 2026
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?BUYNo$6.1KJul 7, 2026
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?BUYNo$890Jul 7, 2026
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?BUYNo$1.1KJul 7, 2026
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?BUYNo$331Jul 7, 2026
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?BUYNo$1.4KJul 7, 2026
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?BUYNo$1.5KJul 7, 2026
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?BUYNo$159Jul 7, 2026
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?BUYNo$700Jul 7, 2026
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?BUYNo$530Jul 7, 2026
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?BUYNo$363Jul 7, 2026
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?BUYNo$58Jul 7, 2026
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?BUYNo$492Jul 7, 2026
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUYYes$2.0KJul 5, 2026
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?BUYNo$3.7KJul 5, 2026
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?BUYNo$95.5KJul 4, 2026
Will Jason Kelce be a groomsman at Taylor Swift's wedding?BUYYes$980Jul 4, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUYNo$569.9KJul 4, 2026

Most-active markets

MarketTradesVolume
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?1$2.93M
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?1$569.9K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?1$283.8K
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?2$98.5K
China x Japan military clash before 2027?1$43.2K

Frequently asked questions

Who is the Polymarket trader elmcap2?

elmcap2 (0xed10…d2e5) is a Polymarket trader (wallet 0xed107a85a4585a381e48c7f7ca4144909e7dd2e5). This page tracks their on-chain activity: 73 open positions currently worth $6.82M, plus their most recent large trades. All figures come from Polymarket's public data API and update automatically.

What does open P&L mean here?

Open P&L is the unrealised profit or loss on the trader's currently open positions — the difference between what they paid and the current market value. It excludes positions they have already closed or redeemed. This trader's open P&L is +$36.2K.

How often is this profile updated?

Spreadiction reads this trader's positions and trades live from Polymarket's public API and caches them briefly, so the page reflects on-chain activity within a couple of minutes. Reload to refresh.

Is this trading advice?

No. Copying another trader carries substantial risk and past performance does not predict future results. Nothing here is investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Spreadiction is an independent analytics tool and is not affiliated with Polymarket.

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