Treadmilled
Polymarket trader 0xf4ba…5933 — 13 open positions worth $73.0K, open P&L -$103.8K. Largest position: Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 me… ($64.9K).
Open positions
| Market | Outcome | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | $64.9K | +$726 +1.1% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | No | $5.2K | -$110 -2.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Yes | $1.6K | -$28.3K -94.8% |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | $1.3K | +$386 +42.3% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $29 | -$79 -73.1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | Yes | $0 | -$6.3K -100.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | $0 | -$12.7K -100.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | $0 | -$5.0K -100.0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | Yes | $0 | -$5.4K -100.0% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | Yes | $0 | -$2.6K -100.0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | Yes | $0 | -$14.4K -100.0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | $0 | -$28.2K -100.0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | Yes | $0 | -$1.9K -100.0% |
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Frequently asked questions
Who is the Polymarket trader Treadmilled?
Treadmilled (0xf4ba…5933) is a Polymarket trader (wallet 0xf4baccff188321440a1ed01a5d5fd89c3e1f5933). This page tracks their on-chain activity: 13 open positions currently worth $73.0K, plus their most recent large trades. All figures come from Polymarket's public data API and update automatically.
What does open P&L mean here?
Open P&L is the unrealised profit or loss on the trader's currently open positions — the difference between what they paid and the current market value. It excludes positions they have already closed or redeemed. This trader's open P&L is -$103.8K.
How often is this profile updated?
Spreadiction reads this trader's positions and trades live from Polymarket's public API and caches them briefly, so the page reflects on-chain activity within a couple of minutes. Reload to refresh.
Is this trading advice?
No. Copying another trader carries substantial risk and past performance does not predict future results. Nothing here is investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Spreadiction is an independent analytics tool and is not affiliated with Polymarket.
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Explore this wallet interactively on Spreadiction — realized vs unrealized P&L, win rate, exposure and filterable trade history — or view the original profile on Polymarket.
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