Spreadiction

Dragontree

Polymarket trader 0x2c39…56dc — 21 open positions worth $18.8K, open P&L -$1.5K, $429.3K traded volume. Largest position: Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ($8.4K).

$18.8K
-$1.5K

Open positions

MarketOutcomeValueP&L
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$8.4K-$274
-3.2%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$5.3K+$16
+0.3%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$1.5K+$12
+0.8%
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Yes$906+$66
+7.8%
Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No$752+$58
+8.3%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes$567-$105
-15.6%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No$522-$135
-20.6%
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?No$490-$245
-33.3%
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?No$156-$108
-40.9%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes$88-$62
-41.2%
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No$67+$40
+150.0%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Yes$42-$192
-82.1%
US strike on Mexico by December 31?No$17+$1
+4.2%
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes$2-$42
-95.1%
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?No$1-$2
-61.1%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes$1-$0
-25.0%
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?No$1-$3
-74.6%
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes$0-$6
-98.8%
Will Trump say "Moon" during Tribute to America Rally?No$0-$190
-100.0%
Will Trump say "Space Force" during Tribute to America Rally?No$0-$364
-100.0%
Will Trump's remarks not air?Yes$0-$0
-100.0%

Recent trades

MarketSideOutcomeSizeWhen
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUYYes$1.1KJul 5, 2026
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUYYes$3.5KJul 5, 2026
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUYYes$1.9KJul 5, 2026
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUYYes$1.8KJul 5, 2026
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUYYes$1.8KJul 5, 2026
Will Trump say "Mount Rushmore" during Tribute to America Rally?BUYYes$64Jul 5, 2026
Will Trump's remarks not air?BUYNo$67Jul 5, 2026
Will Trump say "Benjamin" or "Franklin" during Tribute to America Rally?SELLNo$143Jul 5, 2026
Will Trump say "Space Force" during Tribute to America Rally?BUYNo$352Jul 5, 2026
Will Trump's remarks not air?SELLNo$19Jul 5, 2026
Will Trump say "Benjamin" or "Franklin" during Tribute to America Rally?BUYYes$18Jul 5, 2026
Will Trump say "Benjamin" or "Franklin" during Tribute to America Rally?BUYNo$212Jul 5, 2026
Will Trump say "Never Seen Before" during Tribute to America Rally?BUYNo$125Jul 5, 2026
Will Trump's remarks not air?BUYNo$12Jul 5, 2026
Will Trump say "Moon" during Tribute to America Rally?BUYNo$188Jul 4, 2026
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUYNo$96Jul 3, 2026
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 2?BUYYes$92Jul 2, 2026
Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 1.5BUYUnder$861Jul 2, 2026
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?SELLNo$1.8KJul 1, 2026
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?BUYNo$31Jun 30, 2026

Most-active markets

MarketTradesVolume
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?2$5.3K
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?2$3.7K
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?2$2.5K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?1$1.8K
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?2$1.2K

Frequently asked questions

Who is the Polymarket trader Dragontree?

Dragontree (0x2c39…56dc) is a Polymarket trader (wallet 0x2c3928af89565c352afe8e2a1b25deed77a056dc). This page tracks their on-chain activity: 21 open positions currently worth $18.8K, plus their most recent large trades. All figures come from Polymarket's public data API and update automatically.

What does open P&L mean here?

Open P&L is the unrealised profit or loss on the trader's currently open positions — the difference between what they paid and the current market value. It excludes positions they have already closed or redeemed. This trader's open P&L is -$1.5K.

How often is this profile updated?

Spreadiction reads this trader's positions and trades live from Polymarket's public API and caches them briefly, so the page reflects on-chain activity within a couple of minutes. Reload to refresh.

Is this trading advice?

No. Copying another trader carries substantial risk and past performance does not predict future results. Nothing here is investment, financial, legal or tax advice. Spreadiction is an independent analytics tool and is not affiliated with Polymarket.

Go deeper

Explore this wallet interactively on Spreadiction — realized vs unrealized P&L, win rate, exposure and filterable trade history — or view the original profile on Polymarket.

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